151 Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $17.75.
1 packs produce $11.13 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−61%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $28.88.
Expected Loss
−$17.75
The average opening result after paying $28.88 sealed.
Open Average
$11.13
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$7.12
Expected range $5.60-$16.66 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $11.13
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$11.13 × 1 packs = $11.13
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$11.13 = $11.13
No promo value applied for this product.
$11.13 × 0.64 = $7.12
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $11.13 ÷ $28.88 = 38.5% • Cash-out: $7.12 ÷ $28.88 = 24.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $11.13 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $60.43 | 7.70% | $4.65 | $4.65 | 41.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $147.79 | 3.10% | $4.58 | $4.58 | 41.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.49 | 6.25% | $0.97 | $0.97 | 8.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $5.12 | 12.50% | $0.64 | $0.64 | 5.8% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $14.26 | 2.00% | $0.29 | $0.29 | 2.6% |
| Total | $11.13 | $11.13 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$487.00
+$2.16 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$167.27
+$0.74 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$128.13
+$0.62 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$135.72
+$0.60 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$116.94
+$0.56 EV
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$101.23
+$0.49 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$32.74
+$0.31 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$33.96
+$0.23 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$45.98
+$0.18 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$45.81
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($28.88) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($28.88) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $602.77 | $124.55 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1370.79 | $448.80 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $194.50 | $66.78 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $80.42 | $34.39 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $241.87 | $45.52 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $1053.40 | $188.08 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $118.23 | $46.52 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $122.02 | $46.52 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $48.93 | $22.26 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $227.04 | $91.04 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $28.88 | $11.13 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $19.85 | $9.80 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $19.93 | $9.80 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $13.25 | $6.41 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister | Shrouded Fable | $32.04 | $14.06 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $17.29 | $7.57 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister | Temporal Forces | $27.24 | $11.78 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $13.52 | $5.79 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister | Temporal Forces | $9.56 | $4.01 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |